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The Business of Cycling

The Business of Cycling

The Barbell Effect: Why the Middle of the Bike Market Is Disappearing with Jeff Brines

The Business of Cycling · Jan 5, 2026 · 40:19

0:0040:19

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CEO at Rali Systems and Contributor at VitalMTB, Jeff Brines introduces his "barbell hypothesis". In the conversation we discuss how the cycling market is splitting into two thriving extremes while the middle hollows out. Bikes under $4,000 and premium builds above $15,000 are selling well, but the $6,000-8,000 sweet spot is disappearing.

He attributes this to slowing technological progress (diminishing returns on spending), demographic shifts between asset owners and non-owners, and middle-class economic pressure. Brines advises brands to identify their moat: either compete on volume or position as premium.

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