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A bonanza on the semiconductor industry and hardware scaling to AGI by the end of the decade.Dylan Patel runs
Semianalysis, the leading publication and research firm on AI hardware. Jon Y runs
Asianometry, the world’s best YouTube channel on semiconductors and business history.* What Xi would do if he became scaling pilled* $ 1T+ in datacenter buildout by end of decadeWatch on
YouTube. Listen on
Apple Podcasts,
Spotify, or any other podcast platform. Read the
full transcript here. Follow
me on Twitter for updates on future episodes.Sponsors:*
Jane Street is looking to hire their next generation of leaders. Their deep learning team is looking for FPGA programmers, CUDA programmers, and ML researchers. To learn more about their full time roles, internship, tech podcast, and upcoming Kaggle competition, go
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this page.Timestamps
00:00:00 – Xi's path to AGI00:04:20 – Liang Mong Song00:08:25 – How semiconductors get better00:11:16 – China can centralize compute00:18:50 – Export controls & sanctions00:32:51 – Huawei's intense culture00:38:51 – Why the semiconductor industry is so stratified00:40:58 – N2 should not exist00:45:53 – Taiwan invasion hypothetical00:49:21 – Mind-boggling complexity of semiconductors00:59:13 – Chip architecture design01:04:36 – Architectures lead to different AI models? China vs. US01:10:12 – Being head of compute at an AI lab01:16:24 – Scaling costs and power demand01:37:05 – Are we financing an AI bubble?01:50:20 – Starting Asianometry and SemiAnalysis02:06:10 – Opportunities in the semiconductor stack This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit
www.dwarkesh.com