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Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives

Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives

Amazon's $215B AI Bet vs Apple's $9B: Who Earns It Back? | Stock Market

Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives · Nov 8, 2026 · 19:44

0:0019:44

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We run the real numbers: Amazon's $215B in CapEx pushed its free cash flow to -$47B, while Apple kept $136B. Then we show why Alphabet's ~$200B build-out needs about $100B in new AI revenue just to earn a 15% return.


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Chapters

(0:00) The AI CapEx Reality Check

(0:38) The Cash Flow Compression (LTM Data)

(3:19) Business Models Diverge: Builders vS.

(4:39) Apple's Infrastructure Optionality

(5:20) The Pressure Cookers: Amazon & Alphabet

(6:23) Clear Backlogs VS. Invisible ROIC

(7:25) What Does 15% ROIC Actually Require?

(9:30) Apple's Infrastructure Optionality

(10:10) Is this 1999? Yes and No.

(11:51) Servers Are Not Railroads

(13:49) Where the Periphery Breaks

(17:33) The Verdict: Watch the Numerator

(18:53) DeepValues Resources

(19:19) Get the apps


DeepValues toolkit

• Run the numbers on any stock yourself, free

• Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed)

• Open-source research on 300+ companies

• Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst

• Developer API and MCP server for your AI agents


Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.


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Disclaimer: educational and research content only. Not investment advice. Based on public sources that may be revised or interpreted differently. Do your own due diligence.


#StockMarket #ValueInvesting #BuffettIndicator

Episodes: Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives

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