Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives
Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives · Nov 8, 2026 · 19:44
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We run the real numbers: Amazon's $215B in CapEx pushed its free cash flow to -$47B, while Apple kept $136B. Then we show why Alphabet's ~$200B build-out needs about $100B in new AI revenue just to earn a 15% return.
• DeepValues app, a research team in your pocket: intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock, reports down to the footnotes
• Is the market overvalued? The Buffett Indicator app
Android (Buffett Indicator & Shiller PE)
Chapters
(0:00) The AI CapEx Reality Check
(0:38) The Cash Flow Compression (LTM Data)
(3:19) Business Models Diverge: Builders vS.
(4:39) Apple's Infrastructure Optionality
(5:20) The Pressure Cookers: Amazon & Alphabet
(6:23) Clear Backlogs VS. Invisible ROIC
(7:25) What Does 15% ROIC Actually Require?
(9:30) Apple's Infrastructure Optionality
(10:10) Is this 1999? Yes and No.
(11:51) Servers Are Not Railroads
(13:49) Where the Periphery Breaks
(17:33) The Verdict: Watch the Numerator
(18:53) DeepValues Resources
(19:19) Get the apps
DeepValues toolkit
• Run the numbers on any stock yourself, free
• Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed)
• Open-source research on 300+ companies
• Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst
• Developer API and MCP server for your AI agents
Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.
Podcast (Deep Values): Spotify · Apple Podcasts
Disclaimer: educational and research content only. Not investment advice. Based on public sources that may be revised or interpreted differently. Do your own due diligence.
#StockMarket #ValueInvesting #BuffettIndicator
Episodes: Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives