Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives
Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives · Oct 26, 2026 · 19:08
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Deep value research on Microsoft (MSFT) as of 2026-11-07: $190B AI capex plan. A leaked memo shows Microsoft offering buyouts to about 60,000 employees, roughly 27% of its workforce, while planning up to $190B in AI data center spending. We use a Graham-Buffett lens to show what swapping payroll for depreciating hardware means for owner earnings, maintenance capex and the moat.
Chapters
(0:00) The Capital Allocation Pivot
(0:39) Swapping OPEX for CAPEX
(1:47) Anatomy of the Buyout Memo
(2:53) Velocity of Execution
(3:16) What Stays vs. What Goes
(6:03) The $190B Infrastructure Runway
(7:04) Swapping OPEX for CAPEX
(9:09) Velocity of Execution
(10:09) The Bear Case Risks
(12:44) The $190B Infrastructure Runway
(14:50) AI-Era Playbook for Value Investors
(18:05) Tools for Value Investors
(18:43) Get the free apps
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