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Trump's announced "energy ceasefire" between Russia and Ukraine is unraveling. The alleged deal: sanctions relief in exchange for millions of tons of Russian diesel — brokered by business envoys, not diplomats. Yet Kyiv keeps striking refineries, and Moscow demands a comprehensive settlement, not a temporary truce. Why Putin refuses to win the war by force, why Trump stays trapped by the hegemony doctrine, the military-industrial complex and election pressure — and how Yemen and Saudi Arabia could widen it all.
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