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Lonte Smith and Dave Essler talk CFB betting for Week 11 Dave Essler and Lonte Smith return with the RJ Bell Dream Preview college football edition on the Pregame.com Podcast Network, breaking down five marquee games with sharp betting analysis, market reads and two official best bets. Lonte opens at 00:32 after a 1 and 1 week, with Dave cashing Air Force outright to push his college football best bets to 9 and 1 while Lonte chases the .500 mark with three weeks to go. At 02:11 the hosts open in the ACC with Louisville laying 3.5 at North Carolina on a total of 59.5, as the Cardinals ride a four game win streak and an offense that has posted 44, 34, 52 and 44 during the run, with the Bobby Petrino and Jeff Brohm storyline adding spice to the first Louisville trip to Kenan Stadium since 2017. Dave counters at 03:59 by noting the market move to minus 4 and back to 3.5, a Louisville rush defense that can bottle up the Heels, and a UNC team that covered at home against Notre Dame and Miami, before riding Bill Belichick and the Tar Heels plus the points, while Lonte prefers the Louisville team total over against a run defense outside the top 100 in rush success rate allowed. At 07:14 undefeated Utah lays 2.5 at Arizona, and Dave makes the case at 08:24 that the Utes have played just the 42nd toughest schedule and needed four Bear Bachmeier interceptions to win the Holy War, taking the home team plus the field goal, with Lonte backing Arizona to win outright if Noah Fifita and the pass rush can contain Devon Dampier. At 11:06 Texas visits LSU as a 3.5 point underdog without Hollywood Smothers, who is out for the season, and with Cam Coleman banged up, and Dave goes back to the Tigers at 12:19 in their final home game, pointing out that Arch Manning has taken nine sacks on 57 road pass attempts, while Lonte calls it a highly volatile game that ends in either a Texas win or an LSU blowout. At 16:02 Texas Tech visits Oklahoma State with a total in the 72.5 to 73.5 range, Lonte trusts Drew Mestemaker to carve up the Red Raiders secondary if his offensive line holds up against a top five pressure rate, and Dave lays the points at 18:25 and adds the Cowboys team total over, noting that Oklahoma State has allowed 148 points in four conference games but scored 204. At 20:22 the card swings to a 42.5 total in Tennessee at Texas A&M, where Dave questions George MacIntyre on the road and the Aggies offense under Mike Elko and Holmon Wiggins before loving the under, and Lonte agrees while also grabbing the Aggies. The best bets arrive at 24:22, with Dave going rogue on SMU in the Mustangs final home game after Wake Forest opened as a 2.5 point favorite with 69 percent of the tickets and 91 percent of the money, only for the line to flip to SMU, while Lonte backs Texas A&M plus 2.5 and predicts a 17 to 14 Aggies win. The rapid fire round at 27:37 covers Illinois and UCLA, Maryland plus 8.5 against Wisconsin, Alabama laying 17 at Vanderbilt, UCF over Arizona State in the Bounce House, Indiana and USC, Georgia against Missouri, and Penn State against Minnesota, before the hosts wrap at 36:14 hoping for a 2 and 0 week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
