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The Paul Truesdell Podcast

The Paul Truesdell Podcast

Facts - Russia's Brutal Invasion of Ukraine

The Paul Truesdell Podcast · Aug 17, 2026 · 53:01

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Disclaimer  

Due to our extensive holdings and our clients, you should assume that we have a position in all companies discussed and that a conflict of interest exists. The information presented is provided for informational purposes only. 

Truesdell Wealth, Inc.
A Registered Investment Advisor 
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Paul Grant Truesdell, J.D., AIF, CLU, ChFC, RFC
Founder of The Truesdell Companies

Facts are important and are often muddled with language that is not necessary.  A rapid-fire listing of facts is one way to make a point. Four and a half years after Russia's invasion of Ukraine under the brutal dictatorship of Vladimir Putin, the numbers tell a story the Kremlin never expected to experience. What follows is not opinion. It is arithmetic — territory measured in meters per day, casualties measured against months of recruitment, refineries measured in barrels lost, and a birth rate measured against two centuries of Russian history.
This list from Truesdell Wealth is provided as a straight read, and what follows will keep you talking for days.
Let’s begin. 
Number 1. Fact: The war between Russia and Ukraine has been ongoing for more than four and a half years.
Number 2. Fact: This war has now lasted longer than the First World War and longer than the Soviet Union's fight against Nazi Germany in the Second World War.
Number 3. Fact: In November 2022, Russian forces controlled approximately 108,600 square kilometers of Ukraine, roughly 18 percent of the country.
Number 4. Fact: Ukraine's counteroffensives in Kharkiv and Kherson reclaimed more than half of all territory Russia captured in the opening months of the invasion.
Number 5. Fact: By the middle of 2026, Russia controlled approximately 116,000 square kilometers of Ukraine, roughly 20 percent of the country.
Number 6. Fact: Over three and a half years of offensive operations, Russia gained less than 2 percent more of Ukraine's total land area.
Number 7. Fact: Russian forces lost more ground than they captured in both April and May 2026, a net loss of roughly 400 square kilometers, and the first monthly net losses since August 2024.
Number 8. Fact: Russian forces returned to marginal net territorial gains by June and July 2026.
Number 9. Fact: Based on DeepState data, Russian forces made a net gain of 15 square miles of Ukrainian territory between June 23 and July 21, 2026, compared with 12 square miles in the preceding four-week period.
Number 10. Fact: Between July 7 and August 4, 2026, Russia made a net gain of 24 square miles according to ISW data, and 31 square miles in the preceding four-week period according to Deep State.
Number 11. Fact: In the opening weeks of the invasion, Russian forces seized more than 60,000 square kilometers of Ukraine within a matter of days while advancing toward Kyiv.
Number 12. Fact: Around Kostyantynivka in eastern Donetsk, Russian forces have advanced at an average rate of approximately 50 meters per day.
Number 13. Fact: Near Pokrovsk, Russian forces have advanced at an average rate of approximately 70 meters per day.
Number 14. Fact: The Battle of the Somme in 1916 lasted more than four months, introduced tanks into combat, and produced territorial gains measured in single-digit kilometers.
Number 15. Fact: In May 2025, Forbes calculated that Russian forces were advancing at a rate of approximately 176 square kilometers per month.
Number 16. Fact: Forbes calculated that at the May 2025 rate of advance, Russia would require 231 years to occupy the entirety of Ukraine.
Number 17. Fact: The Forbes analysis estimated Russia would need 100 million soldiers, set against a total pre-war Russian population of roughly 140 million.
Number 18. Fact: According to Institute for the Study of War figures, Russia advanced approximately 628 square kilometers over the first six months of 2026, an average of approximately 104.5 square kilometers per month.
Number 19. Fact: At the 2026 rate of advance, Russia would require approximately 400 years to occupy the whole of Ukraine.
Number 20. Fact: Four hundred years is longer than the time that has elapsed since the founding of the Russian Empire under Peter the Great.
Number 21. Fact: Russia suffered approximately 200 casualties for every square mile of territory taken in 2025.
Number 22. Fact: In the first five months of 2026, with a net gain of 17 square miles, Russia suffered over 9,600 casualties for each square mile taken.
Number 23. Fact: Russia's spring 2026 offensive against the Fortress Belt opened in mid-March with large armored column attacks and produced catastrophic losses in its opening days, with the Institute for the Study of War assessing that seizure of the Belt in 2026 is unlikely.
Number 24. Fact: According to Ukraine's General Staff, Russia has lost 1,462,970 troops in Ukraine since February 24, 2022.
Number 25. Fact: July 2026 marked the highest monthly Russian losses of 2026, with over 42,000 recorded.
Number 26. Fact: Russian losses averaged approximately 34,000 personnel per month throughout 2026, according to Ukraine's General Staff.
Number 27. Fact: CSIS assessed as many as 450,000 Russian battlefield deaths and 1.4 million total casualties between February 2022 and June 2026.
Number 28. Fact: The UK Ministry of Defense, the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service, the Netherlands' military intelligence service, and CSIS converge on an estimate of between 400,000 and 500,000 Russian dead.
Number 29. Fact: Russian fatalities in Ukraine are more than four times greater than all U.S. fatalities in all wars combined since World War II.
Number 30. Fact: Russian fatalities in Ukraine are more than nine times greater than all Soviet and Russian fatalities in all wars combined since World War II.
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