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Markets have not fully regained their earlier optimism bias, but are a little more cheerful. Yesterday, US President Trump signed an agreement essentially reaffirming the status quo with Greenland and Denmark—but spun it as change. Could a similar course be pursued with Iran? Trump’s UN speech was aggressive but both the US and Iranian regimes make frequent use of hyperbole. After the speech, there was playground diplomacy, with Qatar shuttling between the US and Iran carrying notes.