Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner

Dwarkesh Podcast · Jul 3, 2025 · 14:01

0:0014:01

Listen in the Podli app 🎧

Follow your favourite podcasts, listen offline and in the car with CarPlay and Android Auto, and always pick up where you left off. Free to try.

I’ve had a lot of discussions on my podcast where we haggle out timelines to AGI. Some guests think it’s 20 years away - others 2 years.

Here’s an audio version of where my thoughts stand as of June 2025. If you want to read the original post, you can check it out here.

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.dwarkesh.com